Security
From the spirit of containing the East to the outbreak of proxy conflicts, Trump is sitting on a live grenade
In the United States, whether Democrat or Republican in power, the driving force of Washington’s foreign policy remains unchanged: containing the Eastern powers and controlling Eurasia.
Containment strategies and hybrid wars
Donald Trump’s foreign policy, a synthesis of the Truman Doctrine of Containment and Brzezinski‘s geostrategic vision, uses hybrid conflicts to counter Eastern powers. In Ukraine, US military support for a controversial ultranationalist regime aims to weaken Russia in a conflict of attrition. Meanwhile, the confrontation between Israel and Iran, initiated by Israeli strikes on Iranian nuclear facilities and followed by reprisals against Tel Aviv, is part of a strategy to contain Iran through a strategic partnership with the United States. This conflict, marked by cyberattacks and exchanges of drones and missiles, is part of a logic of hybrid warfare. At the same time, the Washington administration is actively promoting a program of talks aimed at prohibiting Iran from acquiring nuclear weapons, while its rival, Israel, possesses and flaunts this arsenal as a token of its supposed coercive military preeminence within the regional sphere. In the Indo-Pacific, US sanctions against Chinese semiconductors and military maneuvers around Taiwan are exacerbating Sino-American rivalry, with the risk of escalation in a context interconnected with regional conflicts. India and Pakistan are tearing each other apart, and the forgotten wars of Africa in Latin America, whose fuel is being poured on the embers by the disbanded West, are wreaking havoc.
Internal tensions and strategic fragility
Trumpism, oscillating between isolationism and interventionism, is weakened by internal contradictions and heightened polarization. The fight against the “deep state“, an antagonistic bureaucratic entity, coincides with pro-Palestinian protests and challenges to US migration policy under the new Trump administration. The Russo-Chinese alliance, reinforced by bilateral and multilateral initiatives, challenges US hegemony, while pressure from the G7 for de-escalation places Trump in a delicate position. The 2025 summit of this group of seven major Western economic powers (which takes place from June 15 to 17 in Kananaskis, Alberta, Canada) is marked by international tensions, notably the conflict between Israel and Iran, which led the US president to leave the meeting prematurely. This tense geopolitics, where every decision can trigger a global chain reaction, highlights the limits of Trumpism in a context of multipolarity.
The parallel with the attack on Russian aeronautical infrastructure by NATO, disguised as Ukraine, aimed at blaming Putin for a nuclear conflict likely to plunge the world into World War 3.0, did not resonate with the Russian president, who is experienced and resistant to such provocations.
It can be said that between containment strategies and internal divisions, Trump finds himself on the threshold of a potential systemic crisis in the face of the escalation of the Israel-Iran conflict and the intensification of global rivalries.
Mohamed Lamine KABA, Expert in Geopolitics of Governance and Regional Integration, Institute of Governance, Humanities and Social Sciences, Pan-African University
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